Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 0.029949 0.032226 0.034506 0.036957 0.039514 0.042101 0.044911
2025-10-19 0.025552 0.029126 0.032828 0.036937 0.041354 0.045945 0.051065
2025-10-26 0.023427 0.027807 0.032454 0.037719 0.043490 0.049594 0.056509
2025-11-02 0.021424 0.026361 0.031707 0.037876 0.044746 0.052117 0.060577
2025-11-09 0.019669 0.025021 0.030926 0.037850 0.045672 0.054168 0.064025
2025-11-16 0.018153 0.023830 0.030205 0.037790 0.046469 0.055998 0.067161
2025-11-23 0.016740 0.022659 0.029420 0.037579 0.047025 0.057501 0.069879
2025-11-30 0.015556 0.021684 0.028797 0.037492 0.047670 0.059058 0.072621
2025-12-07 0.014227 0.020458 0.027812 0.036922 0.047704 0.059879 0.074489
2025-12-14 0.012975 0.019256 0.026797 0.036262 0.047586 0.060484 0.076077
2025-12-21 0.011757 0.018033 0.025700 0.035452 0.047245 0.060794 0.077291
2025-12-28 0.011448 0.017955 0.025997 0.036318 0.048886 0.063405 0.081166
2026-01-04 0.010677 0.017279 0.025571 0.036341 0.049581 0.064992 0.083959
2026-01-11 0.009909 0.016576 0.025094 0.036297 0.050202 0.066510 0.086703
2026-01-18 0.009556 0.016411 0.025287 0.037072 0.051809 0.069189 0.090811
2026-01-25 0.008977 0.015901 0.025005 0.037227 0.052638 0.070930 0.093803
2026-02-01 0.008372 0.015318 0.024600 0.037201 0.053226 0.072368 0.096428
2026-02-08 0.007799 0.014748 0.024186 0.037142 0.053754 0.073721 0.098942
2026-02-15 0.007213 0.014126 0.023674 0.036933 0.054076 0.074811 0.101131
2026-02-22 0.006712 0.013601 0.023272 0.036847 0.054538 0.076061 0.103505
2026-03-01 0.006089 0.012851 0.022528 0.036283 0.054371 0.076522 0.104914
2026-03-08 0.005485 0.012091 0.021738 0.035631 0.054068 0.076797 0.106080
2026-03-15 0.004883 0.011293 0.020860 0.034829 0.053547 0.076782 0.106877